Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000250 0.000278 0.000310 0.000346 0.000387 0.000432 0.000485
2025-01-26 0.000196 0.000237 0.000286 0.000348 0.000425 0.000519 0.000641
2025-02-02 0.000170 0.000219 0.000280 0.000364 0.000476 0.000623 0.000832
2025-02-09 0.000145 0.000196 0.000263 0.000360 0.000497 0.000689 0.000980
2025-02-16 0.000130 0.000181 0.000254 0.000363 0.000526 0.000767 0.001155
2025-02-23 0.000115 0.000167 0.000242 0.000359 0.000544 0.000829 0.001313
2025-03-02 0.000105 0.000157 0.000235 0.000362 0.000569 0.000904 0.001503
2025-03-09 0.000096 0.000147 0.000227 0.000361 0.000588 0.000971 0.001688
2025-03-16 0.000085 0.000134 0.000210 0.000344 0.000579 0.000989 0.001789
2025-03-23 0.000079 0.000127 0.000206 0.000346 0.000602 0.001063 0.002005
2025-03-30 0.000076 0.000125 0.000208 0.000360 0.000646 0.001183 0.002327
2025-04-06 0.000070 0.000117 0.000198 0.000351 0.000647 0.001221 0.002490
2025-04-13 0.000062 0.000106 0.000183 0.000333 0.000631 0.001227 0.002593
2025-04-20 0.000058 0.000102 0.000180 0.000337 0.000657 0.001322 0.002915
2025-04-27 0.000057 0.000101 0.000183 0.000352 0.000710 0.001482 0.003416
2025-05-04 0.000053 0.000096 0.000177 0.000348 0.000722 0.001553 0.003721
2025-05-11 0.000050 0.000093 0.000175 0.000351 0.000749 0.001663 0.004147
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000088 0.000169 0.000348 0.000761 0.001741 0.004504
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000085 0.000167 0.000350 0.000786 0.001853 0.004979
2025-06-01 0.000042 0.000082 0.000163 0.000349 0.000803 0.001948 0.005430
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.000076 0.000153 0.000334 0.000782 0.001943 0.005579
2025-06-15 0.000037 0.000074 0.000151 0.000335 0.000806 0.002058 0.006130
2025-06-22 0.000036 0.000073 0.000153 0.000348 0.000860 0.002267 0.007037